Forty years ago not many people would have been able to accurately predict the advancements made in technology at the turn of the century and beyond. However, one prediction that has held true (relatively) is Moore’s Law conjured up in 1965.
Moore’s Law states that technology and computing will develop at an exponential rate. That is, every 18 months or so performance of technology is double that of what it was two years ago. In essence, technological growth is continuously accelerating.
But accelerating towards what? Exponential laws have no finishing point, they merely continue to grow at an enormous rate. So is this trend really to continue at the same rate or will there one day be a plateau? You would think there would be what with a limited number of resources in the world, but then again, I continue to be amazed by the latest products to come out.
Figure 1 The exponential growth of the number of transistors in computer processors (Taken from www.intel.com)
So without an end in sight, what does all this new technology mean? Well, put simply, those of us working in the computer and technology industry will have jobs for many years to come. There is always something to push us forward, whether it be a competitor’s latest release, or a new idea that has only just taken off (3D television comes to mind). For us at UsabilityOne it means we will always have something else to look forward to testing, and for those of you who are thinking of updating websites, softwares or other technologies, it means you have a range of options that are always changing and always improving. So which one do you choose?
Although it can sometimes be overwhelming to try to take in the seemingly limitless amount of technology around us, we should not despair but should embrace. The most important thing we should take away from Moore’s Law is that we should always be on our toes, because as the nature of the law suggests, now more than ever before there will be new gadgets and gizmos coming at us.
Now, you may be sitting there thinking “I have all these proposals on my desk for website improvements and new designs but how do I know what is going to work best”. Of course there is no one simple answer – it depends on your business, your goals, your budget, etc. One tip we can give though is to work from the top down: What does your company do? What are your goals? It is crucial to have a clear sense of what you are aiming to achieve by implementing a new design technology. A couple of examples are listed below:
- A company wants to increase its sales so it implements an eCommerce feature on its site
- A university wants to improve its student interaction with its online learning facilities so they aim to implement a more interactive website using javascript and videos
To make the most of the myriad of available technologies, first decide what you want and/or need, then conjure a plan to best implement what is available. Identify the goals and objectives of the business, any boundaries which impact on your decision, and assess your timelines to choose a suitable direction in which to proceed. You may not need the best technology, you just need the best technology for you.